As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game (Bloomberg)
As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game — From Kalshi and Polymarket to niche scientific platforms, traders are predicting the weather — and climate experts are debating the results.
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As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game (Bloomberg)
![As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game (Bloomberg)]()
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April 12, 2026
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